Must win, wild card

When the 2024 Tony Award nominations are announced tomorrow morning, it's likely to be a tight race. With so many shows playing during the onslaught of the past two weeks, nominees may still be clearing their minds and perhaps taking a moment to eat and breathe as they ruminate on the 36 shows that will open on Broadway through April 28 Works, 2023 and April 25, 2024.

Some nominations are deserved: critically acclaimed and popular We roll forward happily It's a sure choice for all involved, but what about more polarizing fare? Cabaret, There Is Love, Water for ElephantsI'm watching you.

Selected categories will be broadcast live cbs morning show 8:30 a.m. ET, with the full announcement broadcast live on the official Tony Awards YouTube page at 9 a.m. ET.

Here are my predictions and thoughts on the shows vying for the Tony Awards on June 16, as well as some shows I hope to see. (See the complete list of eligible 2023-2024 Broadway productions at the bottom of this article.)

best musical

The brilliance of Sheena Taub SavesThe Joy of Alicia Keys hell's kitchen and an exciting Sufjan Stevens-Josh Peck dance music remix collaboration Illinois is – or should be – a sure bet.I'm not really sure about the last two positions, but I'd go with A day of wine and roses, an endearing, understated and harrowing story about alcoholism in Mad Men-era New York.And at the same time Lempicka This work is an uneven portrait of 20th-century artist Tamara Lempicka, and sadly has enough moments to join the fray.

Wild card: “The Outsider”, “Water for Elephants”, “The Notebook”, harmonious

best play

stereoDavid Adjemi's brilliant deconstruction of rock bands, fading music scenes, dying love, and a generation enjoying (or not) one last laugh may have had their backstage nomination passes laminated and taped to their lanyards.Joshua Harmon Pray for the French Republic, is a deeply touching and strangely relevant family drama about the Holocaust and its eternal lessons. I can't imagine two unlikely contenders for the same award, or two more equally deserving shows. Other possible nominees: Jaja’s African Braids, Mary Jane, and Mom plays.

Wild card: patriots

Best Musical Revival

An easy category to choose: We roll forward happily is the top choice (and likely Tony winner), followed by who is tommy, So-so received but hyped Cabaret show at Kit Kat Clubfan favorite Gutenberg! and nostalgic wizard Everyone lined up for the shot.Six months ago I would have said Spamalot by Monty Python It is a lock, but the box office was dismal, which made me lament the state of a young man who does not worship the altar of Python.

best revival game

suitable and Puli victory As close to a sure thing as a nomination gets, star power should work its magic on shows that don't receive universal acclaim (enemy of the people Jeremy Strong and Michael Imperioli; Uncle Vanya Starring Steve Carell and Alfred Molina; and Suspect Starring Liev Schreiber and Amy Ryan.

Lead Actor (Musical)

Jonathan Grove (We roll forward happily) and Brian d'Arcy James (A day of wine and roses) is the lock, as is Eddie Redmayne (Cabaret show at Kit Kat Club).I would like to add Andrew Rannells (Gutenberg!) and Ali Louis Burzgui (Tommy),besides.I'm not a big fan of Redmayne's nervous performance, but would be equally satisfied kathy likes (back to the Future) or Grant Gustin (water for elephants).

Lead Actor (Drama)

Leslie Odom Jr. (Puli victory) is a sure thing, and Jeremy Strong (enemy of the people), Steve Carell (Uncle Vanya), Levi Schreiber (Suspect) and Michael Stuhlbarg (patriots) may advance.My preference is william jackson harper (Uncle Vanya) more than anyone except Odom.

Lead Actress (Musical)

Kelly O'Hara is sublime A day of wine and rosesand Maria Joy Moon made an unforgettable broadway debut hell's kitchen. Sheena Taub is a pleasure Savesgentleness and tenacity take turns. Gail Rankin Likely to be nominated for her controversial role as Sally Bowles in “Sally Bowles” singing and dancingEden Espinosa in Lempicka.

Wild card: Eva Noblezada was the highlight of a match that went astray the great gatsby, But I'm afraid she's swimming against the current this time.

Lead Actress (Drama)

Sarah Paulson It's a sure win suitablejust like Rachel McAdams (mary jane), Jessica Lange (Mom plays) and betsey edham (Pray for the French Republic). Amy Ryan Can squeak Suspect (She replaced the ailing Tyne Daly).

Wild card: Tatiana Maslany and Laurie Metcalf (gray house)

Featured Character Actor (Musical)

Daniel Radcliffe is a lock hapinessand Steven Skybell, Herr Schultz, the Jewish businessman, gives the most endearing performance. singing and dancing. Brandon Victor Dixonin a limited stage time hell's kitchenmemorable, and Michael Urie is the funniest performer in a very interesting show spam.I also predict Paul Alexander Nolan for water for elephantsbut I would rather see Ben Cook Seize the opportunity for him to turn around in pain Illinois.

Actors playing featured roles (drama)

Corey Stoll (suitable), Michael Imperioli (enemy of the people) and Eli Gelb (stereo) seems likely, although I doubt Will Keenewho plays Putin in the play patriotsand Alfred Molina (Uncle Vanya) would be nominated, I'd rather see Will Brill and Tom Pecinka, both of them stereoin those slots.

Actress in a Featured Role (Musical)

i will be with Lindsay Mendez, We roll forward happily; Babe Neuwirth, singing and dancing; Shoshanna BeansHell's Kitchen; Nicky M. James, Saves; and Leslie Rodriguez Kreese, Spamalot by Monty Python.

Wild card: Keshia Lewis, Hell's Kitchen; Jen Colella, Saves;Amber Iman, Lempicka.

Lead Actress (Drama)

Karajan, Puli victory; Sarah Pidgeon, stereo; Celia Kenan-Bolger, Mom plays; Francis Benhamou, Pray for the French Republic; Juliana Canfield, stereo.

Wild card: Brittany AdebumolaJaja's African Braids); Nancy Robinette (Pray for the French Republic); Brenda Weir (mary jane); Zenz Williams (Jaja's African Braids)

best books

savs, Scheana Taub; hell's kitchen, Christopher Diaz; IllinoisJustin Peck, Jackie Siblis Drury; A day of wine and rosesAdam Gutter; LempickaCarson Kleiser

Best Score*

savs, Music and lyrics by Shaina Taub; Days of wine and roses, Music and lyrics by Adam Guettel; There is love heremusic by David Byrne and Fatboy Slim, lyrics by Byrne; stereo, Will Brill; Lempickamusic by Matt Gould and lyrics by Carson Kleiser.
*Neither who is tommy Not Sufjan Stevens' Illinois Eligible for raw score category.

Best Choreography

Justin Peck, Illinois, Zheng Huiyi, singing and dancing; Lorraine Lataro, who is tommyCamille A. Brown, hell's kitchen; Jacquel Knight, wizard

Director (actor)
Lila Neugebauer, suitable; Kenny Leon, Puli victory; Daniel Orkin, stereo; Sam Gold, enemy of the people; Whitney White, Jaja's African Braids

Director (Musical)

Maria Friedman, We roll forward happily; Des McAnuff, who is tommy; Rebecca Frecknall, singing and dancing; Silverman, Saves; Justin Peck, Illinois

Full list of eligible shows for the 2023-2024 Broadway season:

Gray House (Lycey Theater)
Once Upon a Time (Marquis Theatre)
Love Is Here (Broadway Theatre)
The Cabin (Hayes Theater)
Back to the Future: The Musical (Winter Garden Theatre)
Shark Break (John Golden Theatre)
Purlie Victorious: A Non-Confederate Cotton Field Romp (Music Box Theatre)
Jaja's African Braids (Samuel J. Friedman Theatre)
We Roll with Joy (Hudson Theater)
Gutenberg! musical! (James Earl Jones Theater)
I Need That (Todd Himes Theatre)
Harmony (Ethel Barrymore Theater)
Spamalot (St. James Theatre)
How to Dance in Ohio (Belasco Theater)
Appropriate (Belasco Theater)
A Prayer for the French Republic (Samuel Friedman Theatre)
Days of Wine and Roses (Studio 54)
Doubt (Todd Himes Theatre)
The Notebook (Gerald Schoenfeld Theater)
Enemy of the People (Circle of the Plaza Theater)
Water the Elephant (Empire Theatre)
Who is Tommy (Holland Theater)
The Outsider (Bernard B. Jacobs Theatre)
Lempicka (Longacre Theater)
The Wiz (Marquis Theatre)
Savers (Music Box Theatre)
Stereo (John Golden Theatre)
Hell's Kitchen (Schubert Theater)
Cabaret Show at the Kit Kat Club (August Wilson Theatre)
Heart of Rock and Roll (James Earl Jones Theatre)
The Patriots (Ethel Barrymore Theater)
Mary Jane (Samuel J. Friedman Theatre)
Illinois (St. James Theater)
Uncle Vanya (Vivian Beaumont Theatre)
The Great Gatsby (Broadway Theatre)
Mother Play (Hays Theater)

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